"Here come the jesters, 1, 2, 3" -Bad Company (1979, from the song Rock and Roll Fantasy)
The COVID-19 vaccines are here. Just this past week, Pfizer/BioNTech applied for Emergency Use Authorization ("EUA") to begin distribution of its COVID-19 Vaccine (BNT162b2). Moderna is expected to submit its EUA application shortly thereafter for its vaccine (mRNA-1273). Seven months ago on this very blog I predicted that one of the primary goals of the whole pandemic was for a good portion of the world's population to receive a new type of vaccination. Looks like my prediction is coming true. Here is what you need to know.
Short version: NOT GOOD. Would not recommend.
Long version: read on.
A couple of facts to set the stage for why I would never encourage anyone I care about to willingly take these vaccines.
FACT #1: The number of pharmaceutical products that have passed FDA licensure from Moderna: ZERO. This company has been around for ten years with it's "high-tech" approach to medicine, but have yet not been able to get any of its products to pass the necessary requirements to be distributed to the public. Yet, here we are with a warp-speed vaccine...hey it's 2020! Why not?!?!?
FACT #2: Pfizer is the one of the most fraudulent companies...ever. Which is saying something considering how fraudulent the pharmaceutical industry is across the board. (Of course, it's nothing compared to the banking/financial frauds, but that's another topic for another day.) Let's just say that Pfizer isn't known for being squeaky clean.
So now that we know the players involved with these vaccines which we will be pressured into taking, here are the up-to-the-minute facts on precisely what we know about these vaccines.
November 10: Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine is 90% effective (press release)
November 16: Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine is 94.5% effective (press release)
November 18: Please disregard Pfizer's previous press release as its COVID-19 vaccine is now 95% effective (press release)
Wow! Unbelievable results from the vaccines developed faster than any vaccine ever in history...and for an illness that everyone keeps saying "no one understands." Truly remarkable. Now let's look behind the marketing and see what we are really looking at.
Both companies are using a misleading metric known as Relative Risk Reduction ("RRR") in coming up with their numbers (94.5% and 95%). Did I say misleading? Sorry, I was being generous. RRR is worthless and only used for marketing purposes to make something that is bad sound good. I would instead recommend that Actual (or Absolute) Risk Reduction ("ARR") be used. Here is a short video which explains the difference.
Pfizer's vaccine which it claims is 95% effective (RRR) when using ARR drops to 0.75%...and yes that is ZERO POINT SEVEN FIVE PERCENT...less than 1%. Hmmm, that doesn't sound so good. Moderna's is even worse. Moderna's RRR of 94.5% drops to a pathetic 0.57% when using ARR. That's barely a hair over one-half of 1%.
How can a medical treatment that a pharmaceutical company claims is 95% effective really only be less than 1% effective?!? As the most-famous Missourian Mark Twain is credited with saying in his autobiography: "There are lies, damn lies, and statistics."
Based upon the trial data that has been released to the public the benefit gained from the Pfizer vaccine is 0.75% and from the Moderna vaccine 0.57%. Perhaps the best metric and most understandable for purposes of determining whether it makes sense to take the vaccine or not is the NNV which stands for Number Needed to Vaccinate.
The NNV = how many people must be vaccinated in order to protect ONE PERSON. If the NNV is 1, that means that every single person who is vaccinated is protected. That's perfect, but no vaccination has ever been that good. If the NNV is 2, that means that 50% of the people who get the shot actually get protection. Two people take the risks from the shot, but only one of those gets the protection. Not the best, but not terrible...a 50/50 shot. The best vaccinations usually fall somewhere in between an NNV of 1 and 2.
Here's where it gets crazy with these COVID vaccines...Pfizer's NNV is 133. Moderna's is 175. AstraZeneca's is 213.
Again, this is based solely on the limited information which has been released to this point (which will surely change over time as more data is released). All of these numbers are horrible and should give any reasonable person enough information to reject these vaccines. Pfizer's NNV of 133 means that 133 people would have to be vaccinated with a brand new controversial technology to protect ONE PERSON. In other words, when you get the shot you are making yourself susceptible to the negative side effects associated with the introduction of these toxic chemicals into your body (which are designed to modify your immune system to produce new proteins) with the benefit of being 1 in 133 (0.75%) of actually being protected from the COVID-19 virus. How effective is a vaccine when the NNV is 133...that's so embarrassingly pathetic that I am questioning why I even have to write a blog entry about it. (For more about NNV (a/k/a NNT - Number Needed to Treat), please READ THIS. This is the most important link to follow, so don't skip it as it does an excellent job of understanding these NNT numbers.)
My whole goal in writing this blog entry (this whole series, really) is to provide you with information you may not be otherwise getting. I know many people believe that this (the vaccine) is going to be what saves us and brings us back to some semblance of normal. It does nothing of the sort. It truly does absolutely nothing. NNV of 133 = nothing. But as I have said from the very beginning of this blog series, this is about something else. The vaccine is a very important part and now we are seeing this part of the play. Like everything before it, the vaccine has nothing to do with health and safety and saving lives. It's a part of a different agenda. I don't want to be a part of that agenda. That's why I began writing this series back in April (seven months ago). I'm encouraging you to join with me in rejecting these measures done in the name of safety and science when they are far from that. Please follow the real science that isn't influenced by money and power and other goals I can't even contemplate.
One other interesting statistic from the Pfizer and Moderna vaccine trials that is worth noting: 0 deaths. Between the 70,000 participants in both trials, neither company has reported a single death from either group (0 have died who received the vaccine candidate and 0 have died who received the control placebo). So based upon this interim data (from July 27 to now), both vaccines have ZERO effect on saving lives. Now the most likely explanation for this is that the small timeframe (a shade under 4 months) has not allowed for anyone to get sick and die. But when you consider how many people have supposedly died of COVID over the last four months, it is mind-boggling that in this group of 70,000 individuals, not a single one of them has died from something...anything (including the 35,000 who did not even get the vaccine, but the inert placebo). Perhaps an equally likely explanation though is that all of the trial participants are "healthy with no comorbidities" as per the trial protocols and that these are the type of people who are not at risk of dying from COVID and are more likely to be asymptomatic when exposed to (and even infected with) the virus. Either way, this makes any positive information from these trials as being dubious if there is no proof that lives will be saved. I expect that there will be more information available over time which should answer some of these questions/concerns.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENT: I have no conflicts of interest. I make no money for the views expressed in this blog nor incur any other benefit, except for this...I care. My whole goal is providing good information to people I care about who might for whatever reason actually think I know what I'm talking about. I am providing information for you to make an informed decision. Pfizer and Moderna are multi-billion dollar businesses with the goal of reaping enormous profits from the current predicament and both have benefited from the mRNA technology which was first developed by the U.S. National Institutes of Health (funded by taxpayer dollars). If that weren't enough, they have even been granted legal immunity. If something goes wrong with their vaccines, they cannot even be sued or held accountable.